Current:Home > InvestScientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios -Wealth Legacy Solutions
Scientists closely watching these 3 disastrous climate change scenarios
FinLogic FinLogic Quantitative Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-03-11 04:22:56
A host of potential climate change catastrophes worry scientists, but some scenarios are so dire that experts are constantly monitoring how close we are to disaster.
This week brought some good climate news about one those scenarios in Antarctica: The so-called "Doomsday glacier" may be more stable than previously thought, according to new research published Wednesday.
The Thwaites Glacier on the vast West Antarctica Ice Sheet is commonly called the "Doomsday Glacier" because of its potential to significantly raise sea levels, inundating low-lying coastal communities and displacing millions of people.
Meanwhile, scientists keep tracking several other potential large-scale climate troublemakers. Scenarios including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Greenland ice sheet have the potential to radically reshape life on Earth in the coming years, decades or centuries.
Here's the latest:
'Doomsday glacier': Worst-case scenario is unlikely, for now
The Thwaites Glacier has been studied for years as an indicator of human-caused climate change.
In one nightmare scenario, the glacier's melt fuels a 50-foot rise in sea level. The Florida Peninsula would be submerged, save for a strip of interior high ground spanning from Gainesville to north of Lake Okeechobee, with the state's coastal cities underwater.
That scenario now looks unlikely — for now, the new study says.
"We know this extreme projection is unlikely over the course of the 21st century," said study lead author Mathieu Morlighem, a Dartmouth University professor of earth sciences, in a statement.
The good news comes with plenty of caveats. Authors stress that the accelerating loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica is nonetheless dire.
"Unfortunately, Thwaites Glacier is still going to retreat and with it most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, but not as rapidly as one scenario suggested," Morlighem told USA TODAY in an e-mail. He added that even though a rapid collapse was a "low likelihood" scenario in the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, "we show is that it is even less likely than we thought."
Sea level is probably going to rise by roughly 2-3 feet by the end of the century and continue to rise after, as the ice sheets continue to melt, he told USA TODAY.
Greenland's ice sheet: A mix of good and bad news
There's been mixed news about a similarly troubling ice sheet in Greenland.
Overall, the ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet, according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center.
News continues to be worrisome in Greenland, which is losing about 270 billion tons of ice per year, adding to sea level rise, NASA said. A study earlier this year found that the ice sheet in Greenland is melting faster than researchers had thought.
But a study last year found that the sheet may be more resistant to climate change than once thought.
Basically, the study found that "the worst-case scenario of ice sheet collapse and consequent sea-level rise can be avoided – and even partly reversed – if we manage to reduce the global temperatures projected for after 2100," previously said Bryn Hubbard, a professor of glaciology at Aberystwyth University in Wales.
AMOC collapse: Scientists still studying feared 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) – a large system of ocean currents that carry warm water from the tropics into the North Atlantic – could collapse by the middle of the century, or possibly any time from 2025 onward, because of human-caused climate change, a study published last year suggests.
The AMOC gained international attention in 2004 with the release of the scientifically inaccurate disaster movie "The Day After Tomorrow," which used such an ocean current shutdown as the premise of the film.
An AMOC collapse in real life could trigger rapid weather and climate changes in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere. If it were to happen, it could bring about an ice age in Europe and sea-level rise in cities such as Boston and New York, as well as more potent storms and hurricanes along the East Coast.
Another study suggests the collapse could occur by 2050, but the research is still preliminary. Earlier this year, a published study found a collapse of the current was coming at some point, but didn't offer clues as to when it could occur.
veryGood! (59555)
Related
- Stamford Road collision sends motorcyclist flying; driver arrested
- Gypsy Rose Blanchard is pregnant: 'I want to be everything my mother wasn't'
- The Supreme Court took powers away from federal regulators. Do California rules offer a backstop?
- 'Gladiator II' trailer teases Paul Mescal fighting Pedro Pascal — and a rhinoceros
- Warm inflation data keep S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq under wraps before Fed meeting next week
- Tour de France standings, results: Jonas Vingegaard posts emotional Stage 11 win
- Judge closes door to new trial for Arizona rancher in fatal shooting of Mexican man
- Gen Z is experiencing 'tattoo regret.' Social media may be to blame.
- Tarte Shape Tape Concealer Sells Once Every 4 Seconds: Get 50% Off Before It's Gone
- Republican primary for Utah US House seat narrows into recount territory
Ranking
- This was the average Social Security benefit in 2004, and here's what it is now
- Will the Nation’s First Heat Protection Standard Safeguard the Most Vulnerable Workers?
- Score 50% Off Le Creuset, 70% Off Madewell, $1 Tarte Concealer, 70% Off H&M, 65% Off Kate Spade, & More
- Big Lots to close up to 40 stores, and its survival is in doubt
- 'Squid Game' without subtitles? Duolingo, Netflix encourage fans to learn Korean
- NHRA icon John Force transferred from hospital to rehab center after fiery crash
- Former Nashville Predators captain Greg Johnson had CTE when he died in 2019
- KTLA news anchor Sam Rubin's cause of death revealed
Recommendation
Google unveils a quantum chip. Could it help unlock the universe's deepest secrets?
Tax preparation company Intuit to lay off 1,800 as part of an AI-focused reorganization plan
Walmart's Largest Deals Event of 2024 is Here: Save Up to 80% Off Apple, Shark, Keurig, LEGO & More
Taylor Swift Eras Tour: Sign language interpreters perform during Madrid show
'No Good Deed': Who's the killer in the Netflix comedy? And will there be a Season 2?
'It's absolutely nothing': Cowboys QB Dak Prescott dismisses concerns about ankle
Cavers exploring in western Virginia rescue ‘miracle’ dog found 40 to 50 feet down in cave
Milk, eggs and now bullets for sale in handful of US grocery stores with ammo vending machines